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How Nigel Farage and Reform UK could win monster majority – Tories shielding Labour.TA

It’s time for right-wing voters to get tactical.

Nigel Farage

Nigel Farage (Image: Getty)

An analysis by Sky News has found something startling based on recent polling. In essence Restore and the Conservatives are turning out to be Prime Minister Andy Burnham’s best buds. The Tories and Reform are eating into each other’s vote base, allowing Labour to come in through the middle in hundreds of constituences if an election was held right now.

Since the Tories are responsible for so much of the disaster we are in – and Reform actually has a chance of winning an election (unlike Restore) and actually delivering (unlike the Tories) – there is a very strong case that it is the Conservatives who are effectively helping Burnham the most.

There are scores of constituencies across Britain where Reform and the Tories are battling it out. If their voters voted tactically (and backed the party which has the best chances of both winning and delivering) the Reform/Right-wing bloc would be on 470 seats out of 650.

That’s a monster majority with which Nigel Farage could transform the UK in exactly the direction Right-leaning voters want.

And get this, even if just half of these voters voted tactically, a Reform/Right-wing bloc would be on 383 seats. Well over the 326 MPs needed to form a government.

As for Restore, a wasted vote for a party with absolutely no chance of forming a government, Rupert Lowe’s party could split the vote for Reform in 50 constituencies, handing power straight back to Labour.

Put simply, if Restore voters really want a genuinely patriotic government, a vote for Rupert Lowe’s party instead of Reform is guaranteed to deliver the exact reverse of what Restore voters want.

As for the Tories, this is a party which botched Brexit, created the ‘Boriswave’ of uncontrolled immigration, failed to leave the ECHR, and catalysed the small boats crisis. That’s before we get to high debt, high taxes and high crime.

Conservative voters: are you going to be sucked in by an Establishment stitch up against Reform or are you going to vote for the one party which can clear up the Labour-Tory mess? Those Boriswave migrants will be eligible for permanent residency from now until 2030.

Do Tory voters trust the Conservative Party to fix a problem they created? Do Restore voters want much of the same?

A genuine patriotic Centre-Right government could be on around 400 seats. None of us who long to change the UK and end our national insanity can afford to waste our votes.

The Prime Minister has suggested that Britain’s exit from the European Union has hampered its efforts.

Migrants In Small Boat wearing life vests

Migrants continue to cross the English Channel in small boats (Image: Getty)

Andy Burnham has suggested that Brexit is hampering the UK’s ability to stop migrants stopping the English Channel in small boats. When asked by BBC South East why crossings are still happening, the Prime Minister said: “I do point to the loss of collaboration with neighbours that came with Brexit.

“That hasn’t helped.

“We had a more cooperative system, if you like, in the past, so we are not able to have the same levels of collaboration that we used to have, but I don’t put that forward as a reason why we won’t keep working until we get the crossings right down. That is our goal, that we don’t want to see any crossings at all.”

He added: “I’m not going to give you a date by which we can do that, or a promise that we will do it, as other governments have done in terms of a particular deadline.

Andy Burnham adjusts his glasses

Mr Burnham has said Brexit has not helped (Image: Getty)

“But what I will say to you is I will not stop nor will the Home Secretary until we bear down every element of this criminal, illegal activity and that we do so in a way that gets the numbers right now.”

Chris Philp, Conservative shadow home secretary, said: “Andy Burnham is gaslighting us all to hide his own failures, with over 1,000 illegal immigrants coming in this week alone.”

He added that under previous EU rules, the UK “only ever sent a handful of people back to Europe”, PA reported.

Mr Philp said: “The only way to stop the crossings is to deport all illegal immigrants upon arrival.

“To do this we need to leave the European Convention on Human Rights and that’s the one thing that Weak Borders Burnham will never do.”

Have your say in our poll below, and let us know more in the comments section.

This week saw more than 700 people arrived in the UK on Wednesday and two vessels landing undetected on British shores within two days.

But the overall number of crossings this year (18,609) is down 42% on this time last year (32,188), and 26% below the figure at this stage in 2024 (25,165).

Home Secretary Shabana Mahmood signed a three-year £662million agreement with France in Dunkirk in April.

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