A dumbfounding new poll says that Nigel Farage’s Reform UK has lost support – but would somehow secure a bigger majority in Parliament in a general election. Backing for Reform slumped to 32% in the Find Out Now poll, down three points on last week.
The Conservatives rose by 3% to 17%, drawing level with Labour, which dropped two points. There was also a jaw-dropping leap for the Green Party, which leapfrogged the Liberal Democrats into fourth. Zack Polanski’s party has shot up by four points to 15%, overtaking the Lib Dems on 12%.
The Tories have received a post-conference bounce (Image: Getty)
According to Election Maps UK’s projection, this poll would give Mr Farage a 132-seat majority over all other parties.
Despite the boost in their vote share, the Tories would be wiped out and left with just 27 seats.
Labour would also suffer a similar devastating fate, losing 361 MPs and being left with just 50.
How many seats each party would win (Image: Election Maps UK)
The Lib Dems would be the official opposition, with 72 MPs, followed by the SNP on 40 and the Green Party on 36.
The Green Party’s 15% support is the highest the party has ever seen in a poll, exceeding its previous record in 1989.
Left-wing political commentator Aaron Bastani said: “Fair to say Zack Polanski had a decent first month as leader.
“The Labour brand is at a nadir, and the Greens are seizing the opportunity.”
Britain’s first-past-the-post electoral system was not designed for five parties to score a vote share of more than 10%, throwing up some bizarre potential electoral outcomes.